Week 1

Every angle of the NFL. In one place.

Live scores, betting edges, league intel, ML predictions, and advanced metrics

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Week 1 · 2026 season

Betting edges →
NE
NE@SEA

Wed, Sep 9, 8:20 PM

NE 33%67% SEA
Win prob
SEA 67%
Elo Δ (home − away)
+130
Spread
SEA -4.9
Proj score
20-25

Full H2H breakdown →

SF
SF@LAR

Thu, Sep 10, 8:35 PM

SF 39%61% LAR
Win prob
LAR 61%
Elo Δ (home − away)
+85
Spread
LAR -3.2
Proj score
23-26

Full H2H breakdown →

ARI
ARI@LAC

Sun, Sep 13, 4:25 PM

ARI 19%82% LAC
Win prob
LAC 82%
Elo Δ (home − away)
+210
Spread
LAC -10.5
Proj score
17-28

Full H2H breakdown →

ATL
ATL@PIT

Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM

ATL 40%60% PIT
Win prob
PIT 60%
Elo Δ (home − away)
+78
Spread
PIT -3.3
Proj score
19-22

Full H2H breakdown →

BAL
BAL@IND

Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM

BAL 63%37% IND
Win prob
BAL 63%
Elo Δ (home − away)
-144
Spread
BAL -3.5
Proj score
26-23

Full H2H breakdown →

BUF
BUF@HOU

Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM

BUF 50%50% HOU
Win prob
BUF 50%
Elo Δ (home − away)
-26
Spread
BUF -0.7
Proj score
22-22

Full H2H breakdown →

CHI
CHI@CAR

Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM

CHI 57%43% CAR
Win prob
CHI 57%
Elo Δ (home − away)
-160
Spread
CHI -2.8
Proj score
24-21

Full H2H breakdown →

CLE
CLE@JAX

Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM

CLE 24%76% JAX
Win prob
JAX 76%
Elo Δ (home − away)
+217
Spread
JAX -8.0
Proj score
16-24

Full H2H breakdown →

DAL
DAL@NYG

Sun, Sep 13, 8:20 PM

DAL 55%45% NYG
Win prob
DAL 55%
Elo Δ (home − away)
-69
Spread
DAL -2.0
Proj score
26-24

Full H2H breakdown →

GB
GB@MIN

Sun, Sep 13, 4:25 PM

GB 50%50% MIN
Win prob
GB 50%
Elo Δ (home − away)
+27
Spread
GB -0.5
Proj score
22-22

Full H2H breakdown →

MIA
MIA@LV

Sun, Sep 13, 4:25 PM

MIA 41%59% LV
Win prob
LV 59%
Elo Δ (home − away)
-171
Spread
LV -2.0
Proj score
19-21

Full H2H breakdown →

NO
NO@DET

Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM

NO 25%75% DET
Win prob
DET 75%
Elo Δ (home − away)
+212
Spread
DET -7.6
Proj score
21-28

Full H2H breakdown →

NYJ
NYJ@TEN

Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM

NYJ 43%57% TEN
Win prob
TEN 57%
Elo Δ (home − away)
-24
Spread
TEN -2.3
Proj score
18-21

Full H2H breakdown →

TB
TB@CIN

Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM

TB 38%62% CIN
Win prob
CIN 62%
Elo Δ (home − away)
-11
Spread
CIN -3.2
Proj score
24-28

Full H2H breakdown →

WAS
WAS@PHI

Sun, Sep 13, 4:25 PM

WAS 33%68% PHI
Win prob
PHI 68%
Elo Δ (home − away)
+197
Spread
PHI -5.1
Proj score
21-26

Full H2H breakdown →

DEN
DEN@KC

Mon, Sep 14, 8:15 PM

DEN 45%56% KC
Win prob
KC 56%
Elo Δ (home − away)
-146
Spread
KC -1.6
Proj score
20-21

Full H2H breakdown →

Featured matchupWeek 1 · 2026-09-13
Full breakdown →
BUF
BUF
Elo 1678
vs
50%/50%
win probability
HOU
HOU
Elo 1652
BUF 50%50% HOU
Spread
BUF -0.7
Total
44.0
Predicted score
22-22
Game script
Toss-up

First insight: market setup

BUF @ HOU profiles as a true toss-up.

Model spread: 0.7 · total 44.0

Open quick matchup read →

League pulse

SEA
Top of the league
Elo 1753
A+
SEA
Super Bowl favorite
47%
12.8W proj
SEA
Closest to a lock
96% PO
12.8W
TB
NFC South race
+0.7W
over ATL
SF
Live sleeper
4.5% SB
dark horse

Today's storylines

Power rankings

via Elo
  1. 1SEASEA
    A+
  2. 2BUFBUF
    A+
  3. 3LARLAR
    A+
  4. 4DENDEN
    A+
  5. 5HOUHOU
    A
  6. 6PHIPHI
    A
  7. 7NENE
    A
  8. 8DETDET
    A-
  9. 9BALBAL
    A-
  10. 10JAXJAX
    A-
  11. 11SFSF
    A-
  12. 12MINMIN
    A-

League-wide value bets

Comparing our model to market lines…

New here? Start here

What the numbers mean

Win probability
Each team's modeled chance to win — e.g. 65% vs 35%.
Elo rating
A power-ranking score; higher is stronger, ~1500 is average.
Spread
The favorite's expected margin. “PHI -3.5” = win by 4+ to cover.
Total (O/U)
Combined points the market expects both teams to score.
See this week’s odds →
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